Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.029842 0.032154 0.034573 0.037295 0.040276 0.043448 0.047081
2025-02-16 0.025967 0.029232 0.032830 0.037104 0.042058 0.047643 0.054443
2025-02-23 0.023278 0.027071 0.031416 0.036792 0.043304 0.050985 0.060805
2025-03-02 0.021422 0.025573 0.030481 0.036761 0.044648 0.054315 0.067198
2025-03-09 0.019715 0.024049 0.029309 0.036231 0.045197 0.056552 0.072239
2025-03-16 0.018216 0.022635 0.028122 0.035519 0.045363 0.058196 0.076504
2025-03-23 0.017091 0.021596 0.027306 0.035178 0.045916 0.060299 0.081450
2025-03-30 0.016116 0.020675 0.026562 0.034845 0.046405 0.062283 0.086304
2025-04-06 0.015122 0.019662 0.025621 0.034160 0.046325 0.063416 0.089951
2025-04-13 0.014611 0.019259 0.025465 0.034527 0.047716 0.066691 0.096966
2025-04-20 0.014019 0.018709 0.025067 0.034510 0.048526 0.069135 0.102864
2025-04-27 0.013621 0.018402 0.024982 0.034923 0.049971 0.072593 0.110586
2025-05-04 0.013004 0.017761 0.024397 0.034578 0.050264 0.074322 0.115698
2025-05-11 0.012489 0.017241 0.023957 0.034419 0.050821 0.076486 0.121688
2025-05-18 0.011979 0.016701 0.023460 0.034137 0.051157 0.078299 0.127198
2025-05-25 0.011577 0.016300 0.023144 0.034109 0.051881 0.080769 0.134033
2025-06-01 0.011082 0.015738 0.022559 0.033625 0.051827 0.081923 0.138580
2025-06-08 0.010577 0.015141 0.021893 0.032974 0.051450 0.082491 0.142073
2025-06-15 0.010189 0.014704 0.021453 0.032661 0.051615 0.083988 0.147405
2025-06-22 0.009827 0.014293 0.021033 0.032357 0.051768 0.085462 0.152795
2025-06-29 0.009412 0.013783 0.020437 0.031729 0.051325 0.085827 0.156021
2025-07-06 0.009239 0.013643 0.020421 0.032066 0.052579 0.089347 0.165843
2025-07-13 0.008997 0.013386 0.020204 0.032050 0.053200 0.091728 0.173533